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The Post-Convention Bounce in Voters' Preference
1964 - 2008
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Democratic |
Republican |
| Year |
Convention |
Nominee |
Bounce
% |
Convention |
Nominee |
Bounce
% |
| 2008* |
Aug. 25-28 |
Barack Obama |
4 |
Sept. 1-4 |
John McCain |
6 |
| 2004 |
July 26-29 |
John Kerry |
-1 |
Aug 30-Sep 2 |
George W. Bush |
2 |
| 2000 |
Aug. 14-17 |
Al Gore |
8 |
Jul 31-Aug 3 |
George W. Bush |
8 |
| 1996 |
Aug. 26-29 |
Bill Clinton |
5 |
Aug. 12-15 |
Bob Dole |
3 |
| 1992 |
July 13-16 |
Bill Clinton |
16 |
Aug. 17-20 |
George Bush |
5 |
| 1988 |
July 18-21 |
Mike Dukakis |
7 |
Aug. 15-18 |
George Bush |
6 |
| 1984 |
July 16-19 |
Walter Mondale |
9 |
Aug. 20-23 |
Ronald Reagan |
4 |
| 1980 |
Aug. 11-14 |
Jimmy Carter |
10 |
July 14-17 |
Ronald Reagan |
8 |
| 1976 |
July 12-15 |
Jimmy Carter |
9 |
Aug. 16-19 |
Gerald Ford |
5 |
| 1972 |
July 10-13 |
George McGovern |
0 |
Aug. 21-23 |
Richard Nixon |
7 |
| 1968 |
Aug. 26-29 |
Hubert Humphrey |
2 |
Aug. 5-8 |
Richard Nixon |
5 |
| 1964 |
Aug. 24-27 |
Lyndon Johnson |
3 |
July 13-16 |
Barry Goldwater |
5 |
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*2008: Determined by the APP by using poll ending on the Sunday
before the convention and poll ending on the Sunday after the convention |
| data compiled from the Gallup Poll |
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Citation: Gerhard Peters. "The Post-Convention Bounce in Voters' Preference." The American Presidency Project. Ed. John T. Woolley and Gerhard Peters. Santa Barbara, CA: University of California. 1999-2009. Available from the World Wide Web: http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/convention_bounces.php.
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